Today, I reminded myself of the Russo-Japanese War, which began with a surprise attack on the Russian Pacific Fleet in 1904 (a pre-empt for Pearl Harbour). This conflict is important because it not only changed the face of modern warfare, but it also set in motion a sequence of events that led directly to the global catastrophes that characterised the first half of the twentieth century.
At its heart, this little-known struggle was about territorial ambitions in Manchuria and Korea, but the two massive battlefield victories at Muckden in March 1925 and in the Tsushima Strait two months later sealed Russia’s total defeat and forced the Tsar to sue for peace. This led Russia to focus their foreign policy more towards the Balkans, where they caused the “Bosnian Crisis” of 1908 and in turn, sowed the seeds of the assassination of Archduke France Ferdinand six years later.
The Japanese victory, which was a wake-up call for the West, was partly due to the Anglo-Japanese Treaty that had been signed in 1902. This pact balanced the odds by preventing Russia’s ally, France, from deploying troops because if Paris joined the fight, then London would enter the war on the opposite side. The controversial treaty put Britain at odds not only with France and Russia, but also with the USA, which was competing with Japan for Pacific colonies.
Returning to 2025, as I read the over-simplified commentaries about Putin and Russia that were re-hashed this week, I sense we are as far away from understanding how to end the Ukraine war as at any time in the past two years. Russia’s economy is in better shape than ever because it is still trading with some of the richest and largest countries in the world. The West’s strategy of economic warfare is outdated, so we must use other levers of power to re-balance the equation and achieve our aims. It is worth looking at history for some inspiration from the past.

British War Correspondent at the Battle of Mukden



